我国民间投资的偏最小二乘回归研究

A Study on China's Non-governmental Investment Based on Partial Least-Square Regression Approach

近年来,民间投资在我国经济增长中所起的作用越来越重要,其增长率几乎已经成为经济增长的“晴雨表”。针对影响民间投资的众多因素,我们用偏最小二乘法进行了回归分析,结果显示,提高最终消费率、降低银行贷款利率等措施将对提高民间投资总额起到积极作用。

In recent years, non-governmental investments are playing a more and more important role in China's national economic growth. We find that the increasing rate of non-governmental investments has been a barometer of GDP. This paper analyzes many factors that influence nongovernmental investments, using the method of Partial Least-Square Regression. The regression result shows that improving final consumption rate and decreasing loan rate of the banks might have positive influence on increasing the total amount of non-governmental investments.