对中国双头型经济发展模式的理论质疑

Discussion about Double-headed Economy Development Mode of China

本文主要回顾了从雁行模式到中国双头型经济发展模式的理论发展 ,对中国双头型经济发展模式是否成立的理论基础———龙头产业进行了重新定义 ,并对龙头产业的判别标准———贸易特化系数 (TSC)是否有效进行了探讨。在对中国经济是否已经达到经济转换点的问题进行论述之后 ,本文提出了关于中国经济发展模式的总体构想。

In this paper, we look back to the theory evolution from flying goose mode to double-headed economy development mode of China. On the issue of whether the latter mode comes into existence, we redefine the conception of dominant industry; on the other hand, we probe into whether trade specialization coefficient is valid for the analysis to international competitive power. After the debate about China’s turning point, we put forward our own assumption about economy development mode of present China.