我国油气能源消费特征及与国民经济增长关系研究

Research on Oil and Gas Energy Consumption Characteristics and the Relationship between Them and Economic Growth in China

自1957年以来,我国经济总量整体来说具有较快的增长趋势,特别是改革开放30多年来,一直保持了快速的增长,2010年我国经济总量升至世界第二位。经济的快速发展导致了能源消费需求和能源消费结构的变化,这些变化影响着我国经济社会的可持续发展。系统研究了1957年以来我国总能源和石油、天然气能源的消费特征,阐明了总能源、石油和天然气消费的时间变化趋势、消费构成与结构、对外依存度以及石油和天然气进口等问题,探讨了国民经济增长与能源消费的关系。这对于把握我国能源消费变化趋势,调整未来经济发展方式和能源消费结构,制定经济可持续发展战略具有重要意义。

China has maintained rapid growth trend in the economic aggregate since 1957,especially the beginning of reform and opening up.China has become the world′s second largest economy in 2010.The rapid economic development has led to changes in demand for energy consumption and energy consumption structure.These changes affect the sustainable development of China′s economy and society.This paper systematically studied the characteristics of China′s total energy and oil and natural gas energy consumption since1957.The variation of total energy and oil and natural gas energy consumption with time,the energy consumption composition and structure,energy dependence on foreign were elucidated,and the energy import proportion,species and areas were analyzed.The relationship between national economic growth and energy consumption was discussed.This has significance in grasping the trend of China′s energy consumption,adjusting the economic development mode and energy consumption structure and making the economic sustainable development strategy.