2006年—2014年武汉市相对资源承载力与可持续发展研究

Research on relative carrying capacity of resources and problems of sustainable development in Wuhan City from 2006 to 2014

为研究武汉市可持续发展问题,采用相对资源承载力的研究思路和方法,分别计算了武汉市2006年—2014年的相对土地资源承载力、相对经济资源承载力和综合承载力,并对其动态变化过程进行分析.结果显示:(1)以全国、湖北省和西部地区为参照区域时,武汉市综合承载力处于富余状态,相对土地资源承载力处于超载状态,相对经济资源承载力处于富余状态;(2)以东部地区为参照区域时,武汉市综合承载力和相对土地资源承载力均处于超载状态,但随着土地资源在2007年后的逐年增加,相对经济资源承载力的富余状态也在逐年扩大;(3)未来武汉市需采取有效措施加强土地资源的规划和管理,提高土地资源利用效率;积极调整产业结构,推动经济发展方式转变,实现经济转型升级和跨越式发展;提升人口质量,保持人口规模与资源供求间的平衡.

In order to study the problem of sustainable development of Wuhan City,the relative carrying capacity of land resources,relative carrying capacity of economic resources and synthetic carrying capacity of resources of Wuhan City from 2006 to 2014 were calculated using the ideas and methods of relative carrying capacity of resources,and their dynamic change process were analyzed. The results showed that:compared with the whole country,Hubei province and western regions of China,the synthetic carrying capacity and the relative carrying capacity of economics resources of Wuhan are surplus,but the relative carrying capacity of land resources is overloaded;with the eastern regions of China as the reference,the synthetic carrying capacity and the relative carrying capacity of land resources of Wuhan are in the state of overloaded,but the relative carrying capacity of economics resources of Wuhan is in a surplus state with the increase of land resources after 2007; the effective measures should be taken to strengthen the planning and management of land resource,and to improve the utilization efficiency. Simultaneously,it should also actively adjust industrial structure and promote the transformation of the mode of economic development to achieve economic transformation and leapfrog development. In addition,it is necessary to improve the quality of the population and maintain the balance between population size and the supply and demand of resources.