安徽省碳排放与产业结构合理化、高级化的关联性实证研究

The Empirical Study on the Relationship between Carbon Emission,Rationalization and Upgrading of Industrial Structure in Anhui Province

选取安徽省1990-2013年二氧化碳排放量和产业结构数据,将产业结构变迁分解为产业结构合理化和高级化两个维度进行分析,运用灰色斜率关联度模型,并建立VAR模型,并运用协整检验和脉冲响应分析安徽省产业结构与碳排放之间的关联程度和长短期动态关系。

Based on the data of carbon emission and industrial structure of Anhui province during 1990-2013, and the industrial struc-ture change is decomposed into two dimensions of industrial structure rationalization and upgrading,by using the improved grey slope correla-tion degree model ,establishing VAR model, using cointegration test and impulse response, the paper analyzes the long-term and short-term dynamic relationship between the industrial structure and carbon emissions in Anhui province.