洗钱规模及其对金融发展的影响研究——基于上海市数据分析

Research on the Scale of Money Laundering and its Impact on Financial Development——Based on Data Analysis of Shanghai

随着金融发展水平的不断提升,无论是在金融规模、金融效率还是金融创新模式等方面均提升了洗钱风险,也对洗钱规模造成了一定影响。本文测度了上海市1990～2015年的洗钱规模,并研究上海市金融发展与洗钱规模之间的相互影响关系。实证研究表明,上海市金融发展与洗钱规模指标相互产生影响,这种影响存在一定的滞后性,并且两者间存在长期稳定关系。最后,本文根据实证结果提出了政策建议。

With the continuous improvement of the level of financial development, the risk of money laundering has been raised in terms of financial scale, financial efficiency and financial innovation mode, and it has also had a certain impact on the scale of money laundering. This paper measures the scale of money laundering in Shanghai from 1990 to 2015, and studies the interaction between financial development and money laundering in Shanghai. The empirical study shows that the financial development and the scale of money laundering in Shanghai have an impact on each other, which has a certain lag, and there is a long-term stable relationship between the two. Finally, based on the empirical results, this paper puts forward policy recommendations.