摘要
进入21世纪,全社会对电力的依赖程度越来越高,对电力供应的质量也提出了更高的要求。一方面社会的发展客观上要求电力工业必须以一定的规模和速度发展,另一方面受资源和环保因素的制约,发展电力工业的问题进一步显现。因此,需求侧管理是我国电力工业可持续发展的战略选择。需求侧管理具有巨大的市场潜力。我国已有实施需求侧管理的经验,到2020年,减少1亿kW的电力装机是可行的。因此我们必须从电力工业可持续发展的高度,从资源利用最优出发,高度重视需求侧管理工作,使得电力需求侧管理在我国电力工业可持续发展中发挥更大的作用。
With a great growth rate of GDP in China, the demand for electric power will significantly increase in the next 18 years. It is predicted that the electric power demand will be around 4400～4400 TWh, and the power generation capacity around 920～940 GW in 2020. This will be a great challenge to the environment. And thus, the Demand Side Management (DSM) will play an important role in the sustainable development in China’s power sector. This article studies that the potential of DSM will be around 100 GW until 2020. Therefore, the DSM must be the first priority ranked in the sustainable development of China's power sector in the next 18 years.
出处
《中国能源》
2003年第10期34-36,共3页
Energy of China
