摘要
将目前最具活力的方法之一——基于Agent的复杂模型构建技术引入战争系统的民意问题中,提出了“政治倾向性(民意走向)进化”的观点,设计了我国某地区特定民意走势的预测分析模型,并详细分析了模型实现框架和运行流程,为民意走势预测分析进一步的研究奠定基础.
In this paper, we introduce a hot topic - agent-based modeling method into the public opinion issue in warfare system, and propose an idea of political tendency evolution. Moreover, we design a model for forecast & analysis of the special public opinion tendency in special district of our country. Finally, we analyze the model's realization procedure and flow, which is a milestone of our future research.
出处
《系统工程理论与实践》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
2003年第10期94-98,共5页
Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice
基金
国家"十五"863资助(2001AA115120)
关键词
战争系统
民意预测分析
AGENT建模
warfare system
public opinion forecast & analysis
agent-based modeling
