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人民币实际汇率中的马尔可夫转换行为 被引量:21

Markov switching behavior in RMB's real exchange rates
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摘要 Hamilton’s Markov switching model is applied to RMB’s real exchange rates in this paper.On the basis of this model,the hypothesis of the state-dependent variance substitutes that of invariable one. Hamilton's Markov switching model is applied to RMB's real exchange rates in this paper.On the basis of this model,the hypothesis of the state-dependent variance substitutes that of invariable one.
作者 谢赤 刘潭秋
出处 《统计研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2003年第9期50-52,共3页 Statistical Research
基金 国家自然科学基金项目 (79970 0 15 ) 全国高校优秀青年教师奖励计划资助项目的阶段性研究成果
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参考文献6

  • 1Hamilton ,J (1989). A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstatlonary time series and the business cycle. Econometrica, 57,357 - 384.
  • 2Hamilton. J (1990). Analysis of time series subject to changes in regime. Journal of Econometrics ,45,39 - 70.
  • 3Albert, J and S Chib( 1993 ). Bayesian inference via Gibbs sampling of autoregressive time series subject to Markov mean and variance shifts, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 11,1 - 15.
  • 4Filardo, A J ( 1994). Business-cycle phase and their transitional dynamics. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 12,299 - 308.
  • 5Hamilton,J D(1994). Time Series Analysis , Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
  • 6Kim, C J (1994). Dynamic linear models with Markovswitching, Journal of Econometrics, 60,1 - 22.

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