标本兼治——稳定低生育水平的战略决策和政策选择研究

Seek both Temporary Solution and Permanent Cure——Research on Strategic Decision and Policy Choice for Stabilizing Low Procreation Level

人口控制的基本矛盾就是群众的生育意愿与生育政策的矛盾 ;而所有促进群众生育意愿贴近生育政策的举措即是“治本”举措 ,故“治本”就是解决人口控制的基本矛盾。人口控制的基本矛盾决定了它的两大问题——适宜的生育政策是关键 ,“治本”是根本。治本措施系以社会养老保险作为社会保障体系的主体。论述了治本资金的来源及效益、生育政策选择的原则和具体建议 ,以及标本兼治的东西部差异和标本兼治的战略意义。

The paper points out that the basic contradiction of population control is the contradiction existing between people's procreation will and National Family Planning policy. Measures that can push people's reproductive will close to the requirement of family planning policy are named measures of permanent cure. To solve the basic contradiction, suitable Family Planning policy is the key issues, and seeking a permanent cure is the ultimate objective. The main measure of permanent cure is to develop the social security system which based on the social endowment insurance. The paper discusses the possible fund and benefit for permanent cure, principles of adjusting the family planning policy, and suggestions. The paper also compares the regional disparity between eastern and western China in seeking both temporary solution and permanent cure.