一次指数平滑模型预测法及实际应用

Preditermination and Application of Linear Exponential Smoothing Model

一次指数平滑模型预测法有易掌握、易操作、计算方法呈规律性等特点 ,在日常生活、生产及统计工作的预测研究中具有极其重要的作用 ,用Turboc等计算机语言设计成程序后 ,可广泛应用于研究工厂生产的发展趋势 。

This paper analyses computational principle,computational method and its Application smoothing model prophecy.At the sametime,it points out that this method can be grasped and operated easily.After this method is turned into the program by using computer languages such as Turbo C,to use it may study the intendency of productive development and prophecy.This paper is of better theoretic and social values.