对大学生体质发展趋势及预测方法的研究

Development Trends of Hubei University Students' Physical Fitness and the Method of Prediction

运用灰色控制系统中的 GM(1 ,1 )分析模型方法 ,建立湖北省大学生体质单项指标预测期望值模型 ,通过建模和比较分析 ,其计算结果能较好反映出学生体质发展的基本趋势。采用 GM(1 ,1 )分析模型方法得到的预测结果 ,可以做为一定时期内大学生体质指标发展趋势的期望值模型 。

Using the GM (1,1) analyzing model of grey controlling system to set up an anticipatory value model of single index for evaluating university students' physical fitness in Hubei province. Comparative analysis based on the model shows that the calculating results can well indicate the basic development trends of students' fitness. The anticipatory value from the analysis model of GM (1,1) can be used to predict students' physical fitness development trends.