采样间隔非均匀一阶渐近增长模型及贝叶斯预测

First Order Attenuated Growth Model with Non-uniform Sampling Intervals and Its Bayesian Forecasting

利用贝叶斯预测方法给出采样间隔非均匀情况下的一阶渐近增长模型,当观测误差方差已知时,给出了它的先验分布、预测分布和后验分布的修正递推算法。

This paper presents the first order attenuated growth model with non-uniform sampling intervals by Bayesian method, and gives out its updating recurrence algorithm of prior distributions, forecasting distributions and posteriori distributions with regard to the observational error variance known.