摘要
1957年,马寅初先生提出“新人口论”,次年开始,他的经济观点和人口理论受到批判。此后,中国人口从50年代初的6亿增至70年代末的近10亿。20年增长近50%。这一时期的人口增长,在今天已经成为中国社会的巨大包袱。“白发浪潮”下的中国怎么办?城市家庭子女减少而农村家庭子女增多怎么办?中国男女比例将达到133:100,从而产生3000万-5000万单身汉怎么办?思考这些问题,分析其与就业之间形成难以调和的矛盾的成因,我们认为,中国必须多管齐下,实施人才强国的战略。
In 1957, Ma Yinchu put forward 'New Population Theory' which was criticized next year. The population of China increased from six hundred million in the 1950s to one billion in the 1970s. The population increased nearly 50 percent in 20 years. The increase in population in that period has become great hindrance of Chinese society. How to manage Chinese old - aged population and how to manage the situation that the urban offspring decreases and rural offspring increases become a problem. The ratio of Chinese male and female will reach 133 to 100, which will results in thirty million to fifty million singles. Serious population problem has become the hindrance of Chinese economic development. By analyzing Chinese human resources and by analyzing the contradiction between population and employment, this paper makes suggestions for reasonable use of human resources.
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究"十五"规划第一批研究项目:"市场容量
劳动力流动与就业水平的相关分析"(编号:01JD790016)的部分成果