摘要
China's economy in 2002 developed so well that was beyond many people's expectation. In the very beginning, many departments and economists did not expect so much result would be made in economic development in the year, believing it might grow in the early stage of the year and then decline at last. But in fact, the economy kept growing step by step in the whole year. And the economic operation was also successful. Then, how to assess the correctness of the estimate of the economy?