关于我国核应急决策支持系统建设的实施建议

PROPOSALS ON THE ESTABLISHEMENT OF THE DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS FOR NUCLEAR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IN CHINA

作为我国三级应急管理体系的一个重要组成部分 ,目前已初步在国家、省级地方和核电厂三个层次上建立了核应急决策支持 /事故后果评价系统 (以下统称为“核应急决策支持系统”) ,并在这些系统的研究开发、应用与维护等方面积累了宝贵的经验。与此同时 ,如何保证这些系统及其使用能够在真实事故情况下给出准确的评价和预报 ,日益受到有关方面的高度关注。本文在概要介绍我国核应急决策支持系统的开发与应用现状及其存在的主要问题的基础上 ,就如何建立国家、省级地方与核电厂三级有机统一的核应急决策支持系统 ,对三级系统的功能划分、模式比对和数据共享等问题做了初步探讨 。

As an important part of Chinese three level nuclear emergency management system, decision support/accident consequence assessment systems have primarily been established at national, provincial and licensee levels. Valuable experience has been accumulated in the development, operation and maintenance of these systems. At the same time, more and more attention has been paid to their performance regarding to accurate judgment and forecast as well as the application of the information provided by them in a decision making in the event of an accident. This paper briefly presents current status of the development and opplication of the systems in China. Then it discusses the need to establish a comprehensive network of decision support/accident consequence assessment systems based on the current systems built up at national, provincial and licensee levels. Finally, the way by which this ultimate goal can be achieved is proposed in this paper.