卫星红外异常预测短临地震的系统研究Ⅰ——研究历史与可行性

A New Method of the Prediction of Short-term and Impending Earthquake—the Satellite Infrared Abnormal Forecasting Earthquake: Systematic Study Ⅰ——Study History and Feasibility

卫星红外异常预测短临地震是我国科技工作者首先开发研究试用的开创性新方法。简介了该方法的国内外研究现状;对我国震前增温异常反映地震的历史到运用卫星红外异常预测短临地震的开发研究过程进行了系统的回顾。从红外异常时空动态与地震活动的对应关系的统计分分析,论证了红外异常预测短临地震新方法的科学性、普适性和可行性,并对相关的影响因素,如地形、地物、气象等的干扰和排除。

The prediction of the short-term and impending earthquake using satellite infrared abnormal is the original method which is first exploited, researched and tried by the science workers of our country. The research literature of this method both in domestic and abroad is briefly introduced. Systematically reviewed the history about the increasing temperature abnormal reflecting the seismic moves and the process of the exploitation researches on the satellite infrared abnormal predicting short-term coming earthquakes. According to the statistic analysis of corresponding relationship between time space trends of infrared abnormal and earthquake activities, the scientificalness, universality, feasibility about the new method of the predicting shortterm coming earthquakes by infrared abnormal was demonstrated. The disturbance and exclusion of some influential factors, such as topography, ground thing, weather etc., were initially explored as well.