多状态概率转移模型在医院住院管理系统的应用

A Multi-State Transition Probability Model For Hospital Admission Scheduling

在医院现代化管理的进程中，医院管理者需要经常了解医院病人的流动情况，尤其是住院病人。根据部门反馈的信息，综合分析，对病人的收容和病床的使用安排作出科学的管理决策。本文试用随机过程理论分析医院住院管理系统，建立了医院住院管理系统的多状态概率转移模型（简称ＨＱＭ模型），并分析了住院管理系统的几个优化指标。

The hospital management's plan to admission scheduling is often based upon present patient flow data and specific planned operational changes. This paper present a multi-state transition probability model for hospital admission scheduling. The resulting linear program could be solved to obtain results listed on a decision table as a guide to administrative action.