摘要
运用ARIMA模型,对1978年以来上海的生活垃圾产生量做出时序图,并对其自相关性进行分析,进行2阶差分运算,最终确定出ARIMA模型的参数,预测2020年上海的垃圾产生量,为届时全面实现小康水平、具有中国经济领头羊的上海市垃圾掌控和环境保护提供可参考的数据支撑。
The increasing domestic garbage hinders the development if the city,bringing about series of economic,social and environmental problems.Therefore,to master the exact growth trends of the garbage in the future is the essential condition to solving the problem of domestic garbage.This paper applied the ARIMA model to analyze garbage production of Shanghai through 1978-2011 and make a timing diagram.Then we analysis the sequence from autocorrelation analysis and use second-order difference to determine the parameters of the ARIMA model.Finally,we predict the amount of waste generated in Shanghainext seven years.
出处
《电子测试》
2013年第8X期22-23,9,共3页
Electronic Test
