神木县全民免费医疗制度基金需求测算

Fund Demand Estimation of Universal Free Medical Care System in Shenmu

目的:测算2015—2020年神木县全民免费医疗制度基金需求,为综合评估全民免费医疗制度可持续性和推广价值提供依据。方法:运用概念操作化和精算建模法,建立数学模型,测算神木县全民免费医疗制度基金需求。结果:神木县全民免费医疗制度基金需求将从2015年的3.76亿元快速增长至2020年的6.95亿元,年均递增13.07%。结论:面对日益增长的全民免费医疗制度基金需求,建议通过合理控制住院费用的增长、拓宽全民免费医疗制度的基金来源、加强政府疾病预防与控制职能,增强全民免费医疗制度的可持续性。

Objective:In order to provide a basis for a comprehensive assessment of sustainability and promotional value of universal free medical care system, it estimated the fund demand of Shenmu universal free medical care system from 2015 to 2020.Methods:With the help of the concept operation and actuarial model, the math model was established to calculate fund demand of universal free medical care system in Shenmu.Results:From 2015 to 2020, the fund demand for Shenmu universal free medical care system would grow from 376 million yuan to 695 million yuan with an annual increase of 13.07%.Conclusion:With the increasing fund demand of universal free medical care system, it suggested to reasonably control the growth of hospitalization expense, broaden the fund sources of universal free medical care system, enhance the government functions of disease prevention and control, so as to promote the sustainability of universal free medical care system.