我国经济增长的社会健康成本测算与分析

Calculation and Analysis on the Social Health Cost of Economic Growth in China

目的:估算我国经济增长的社会健康成本。方法:非参数方向性距离函数构造减少社会健康损失的行为模型,度量我国经济增长过程中减少社会健康损失的影子价格,计算社会健康成本占地区生产总值的比重。结果:(1)2007—2012年社会健康成本占GDP比重只有天津下降,而其他省份都上升;(2)我国社会健康成本占GDP比重从2007年的4.9%增至2012年的6.6%;(3)社会健康成本占GDP比重与经济发展水平呈倒"U"型关系。结论:我国经济增长与保持社会健康可以兼容。

Objective:To estimate the social health cost of economic growth in China.Methods:Using nonparametric directionaldistance function, it constructed a behavior model of decreasing the loss of social health, measured shadow prices of decreasing theloss of social health in the process of China's economic growth and calculated the proportion of social health cost of local GDP.Results:(1) The proportion of social health cost in GDP of each provinces except Tianjin raised from 2007 to 2012;(2) the proportion ofsocial health cost in GDP increased from 4.9% in 2007 to 6.6% in 2012;(3) the proportion of social health cost in GDP and the eco-nomic development level showed an inverted 'U' shape relationship.Conclusion:Economic growth and maintaining the socialhealth could be compatible in China.