国际大宗商品价格下跌的对策研究

Onthe Countermeasuresof International Bulk Commodity Prices Falling

2014年以来,国际大宗商品价格持续下跌,需要在数据基础上把握其走势。运用经济学原理,结合国际经济形势,可以分析出此次下跌主要由供求失衡、货币变动、贸易竞争等引发,并由此推论下跌之势已经转为缓慢回升。价格下跌的利好影响和不利影响紧密交织。为此,从对外贸易等角度提出一揽子对策建议。

Since 2014, the international bulk commodity prices continue to fall, so it is necessary to grasp the trend of prices based on the data. Applying economics principles with the consideration of international economic situation, we find out the main triggers for the price decline: the imbalance between supply and demand, currency movements, trade competition, and conclude that the downward trend has turned to slow recovery. The favorable and adverse impacts of price decline are closely intertwined. Based on the analysis, a package of countermeasures and suggestions are put forward from the perspective of foreign trade.