新常态下安徽地区经济增长因素的实证研究——基于主成分分析模型

Empirical Study of Economic Growth Factors in Anhui Province under the new Normalcy——Based on the Model of Principal Component Analysis

新常态下中国的经济增速放缓,本文利用安徽省2000—2013年的时间序列数据,基于中观经济学构建了扩展的宇泽—卢卡斯人力资本模型,利用SPSS19.0软件的主成分分析得出安徽的经济增长主要由要素投入(即物质资本、人力资本、R&D资本和劳动力投入)、资源的能耗水平和产业结构的升级等因素共同决定,并对此提出经济发展的政策建议。

Economic growth in China slows down under the new normalcy. With time series data in An Hui province from 2000 to 2013,the paper builds an extended Uzawa- Lucas human capital model based on meso- economics to analyze economic growth in Anhui. The study is based on principal component analysis model with SPSS19.0 software. It is found thateconomic growth in Anhui isinfluenced by such factors as factor inputs(including physical capital, human capital, R & D capital and labor input), resources consumption level, upgrading of industrial structure, etc.Finally suggestions are put forward about economic development policy.