信息产业绽放复兴曙光

The Dawn of Information Industry Recovery Emerging

人类历史的发展总是在曲折中前进的。全球信息通信业三年多来的跌宕起伏、峰回路转,再次验证了这一规律。世纪之交,正当人们对未来充满憧憬、对新经济的推崇达到狂热之际,上个世纪末一路高歌猛进、风光无限的信息通信业,却遭到了一场突如其来的劫难。从2000年4月开始,作为新经济风向标的纳斯达克股市一路下滑。纳股的连续下挫,严重打击了投资者的信心,使得靠风险投资为生的新兴互联网业遭受灭顶之灾。就像多米诺骨牌一样,互联网业的重感冒很快波及处于产业链上下游的电信制造业和运营业,把全球电信业带入严冬。经历了新千年的大起大落之后,人们不禁要问:目前信息通信产业的整体发展正处在什厶阶段?未来的发展前景如何?人民邮电报网络趋势研究院和本刊战略研究部经过深入研究分析后认为,虽然网络经济遭受了暂时的挫折,但信息化发展的总体趋势没有变,互联网事业才刚刚开始。经过三年多的深度调整,目前全球信息通信业正在走出谷底,进入全面复兴的转折期。

The flexuous development of global information industry in recent three years tells us again that the depression is unavoidable in any development. After the great change some questions may come into our minds; in which stage is the present development of information industry in the whole, and what about its future? After lucubrating and analyzing, the Network Trend Research Institute of PPTNA, together with Strategy Study Center of CTC. reaches the conclusion that the general trend of informatization never changes despite of the temporary frustration, and the development of internet is beginning. After three years' adjusting and regulating, the dawn of information industry recovery is emerging.