FD评分法评分结果的有效性分析——一个“理性有限论”的数学模型

An Analysis of Effectiveness of the Result Obtained by Forced Decision Method——A Mathematical Model about the Theory of Limited Rational Action

本文从辩识概率的概念出发建立了FD评分法的数学模型,并基于此模型回答了评分实践中提出的几个问题,指出FD评分法给出的是“令人满意的解”,评分法的理论基础是西蒙决策理论中的“理性有限论”。

In this paper, a kind of mathematical model is established of Forced Decision Method through the concept of discrimination probability and, on the basis of this model, the paper gives answers to seueral problems arising from decision practice. It points out that a 'satisfactory alternative' is given by Forced Decision Method and that the theoretical basis of this method is the theory of limited rational action contained by Hetbert Simon's Decision Theory.