我国轿车市场发展趋势分析

THE ANALYSIS OF DEVELOPMENT TREND IN OUR CAR SALES MARKET

基于计量经济学的方法,通过采取GDP、居民消费水平和汽车价格指数作为解释变量,对我国轿车的销售量进行计算和分析,从而确定人均收入是决定性变量。最后,预测了我国轿车市场未来几年的发展趋势。

Based on econometrics method, this paper takes GDP, disposal income of town people and car price index as explaining variables, calculation and analyzes on China's car sales,and a scertains disposal income as the dominant variable. At last, it forecast China's car industrial development trend in the near future.