敏感性—概率分析在项目风险评估中的应用

The application of sensitivity and probability analysis in project risk management

本文将项目评估中常用的敏感性分析与概率分析相结合,分别利用客观概率和主观概率确定敏感因素及其变动范围,从而更为有效地发现风险事件和提高评估水平.

In this paper, sensitivity analysis and probability analysis are incorporated, and both objective and subjective probability are used to the sensitivity elements and their variation. The risk evaluation of the project is made properly and scientifically.