中国区域经济增长效率研究——基于Malmquist指数分析

The Research on the Regional Economic Growth Efficiency in China——Based on Malmquist Index Analysis

本文主要运用Malmquist指数分析中国除西藏外的30个省市区区域的经济增长效率水平。结果发现,在2000年至2013年期间中国省市区的整体全要素生产率水平均大于1,表明我国区域整体经济增长效率呈现递增趋势,且主要是技术进步的变化所导致的。2009年其Malmquist指数值达到最大,2008年Malmquist指数达到最小,主要是受世界经济和国家宏观调控的影响。从各省市区角度分析,得知内蒙古的Malmquist指数达到最大,新疆最小。从东中西部经济带的角度分析发现,总体趋势上,西部经济带的Malmquist指数数值高于中部经济带高于东部经济带的数值。究其原因主要是国家政策战略的实施所引起的这种趋势。

The paper analyzes the regional economic growth efficiency of 30 provinces except Tibet in China mainly using Malmquist index. The results show that the level of the overall total factor productivity of China’s provinces was greater than 1 from 2000 to 2013, indicating that the overall regional economic growth efficiency took on a trend of increasing and was mainly caused by the change of the technological progress. The maximum value in 2009 and minimum in 2008 was mainly affected by the world economy and the national macroeconomic regulation and control. From the perspective of the different provinces, it is known that Malmquist index of Inner Mongolia reached maximum, minimum in Xinjiang. From the perspective of eastern, middle and western economic zones, it is surprised to find that in the overall, the Malmquist index value of the western economic zone is higher than that of the middle and eastern zones. The reason is that the trend is mainly caused by the implementation of the national policy strategy.