基于熵权法及灰色关联模型的水资源承载力研究

Research on carrying capacity of water resources based on entropy-weight and grey-correlation model

水资源承载力评价是判断一个城市水资源是否安全的重要手段。本文以衢州市为研究对象,通过应用灰色关联模型选取反映水资源承载力的主要指标,并利用熵权法计算指标权重和水资源承载力综合得分。计算结果表明:1衢州市水资源承载力主要影响指标污水处理率、万元GDP耗水量的权重分别是0.1719,0.1261。2 2004-2011年,衢州市水资源承载力综合得分呈上升趋势,特别是2010年达到最高值,约为2004年的1.23倍。本文通过分析衢州市水资源利用状况,提出可持续利用水资源的建议。

The evaluation of carrying capacity of water resources is an important mean to judge whether the water resources of a city is safe.Taking Quzhou city as the research object , the paper chose the main indexes of carrying capacity evaluation of water resources by grey correlation model.It calculated the total value of water resources carrying capacity and the weight by use of entropy-weight method. Results indi-cate that①the weights of sewage treatment rate and water consumption per ten thousand yuan GDP are 0.1719 and 0.1261 respectively,which are the main indexes of water resources carrying capacity evalua-tion.②The total value of water resources of Quzhou had been raising gradually from 2004 to 2011 .In 2010, the value reached the highest which is about that of 1.23 times in 2004.The paper analyzed the status of water resources in Quzhou and propsed some suggestion for the sustainable utilization of water re-sources.