数据链保障下的空舰导弹捕捉概率分析

Analysis of Impact on Acquiring Probability to Certain Type of Air-to-Ship Missile with Data Link Support

采用数据链保障的空舰导弹作为海战场最重要的攻击武器,数据链断链和目标机动速度是影响空舰导弹捕捉概率的重要因素。根据数据链保障条件下空舰导弹典型作战过程,建立了导弹捕捉概率模型,分析了影响导弹捕捉概率的误差因素,在一定的作战想定下完成了导弹捕捉概率的仿真计算,验证了数据链断链时间和目标机动速度对空舰导弹捕捉概率的影响。分析结果表明即数据链断链时间越长、目标机动速度越大,导弹的捕捉概率越低,受目标机动速度影响最大。为作战飞机在预警机的配合下更好地完成突防作战任务提供了参考依据。

Air-to-ship missile with data link support is an important attacking weapon in naval battle.Therefore,broken time of data link and target maneuver speed become critical technologies for air-to-ship missile.According to typical combat process of air-to-ship missile with data link support,the model of missile acquisition probability is built and the error elements of impacting missile acquisition probability are analyzed.Simulating calculation of missile acquisition probability is accomplished under certain combat scenario,which has verified impact on probability of acquiring air-to-ship missile by broken time of data link and target maneuver speed.Calculation result shows that the acquiring probability of air-to-ship missile is decreased seriously by broken time of data link and target maneuver speed,and affected obviously by target maneuvering error.Reference basis is offered to better complete defense penetration fight mission for combat aircrafts under the cooperation of early warning airplane.