中国消费降级了吗?

Has China's Consumption Been Downgraded?

当前出口和投资受到较大挑战,消费是稳增长的关键,但最近社会消费品零售总额增速下降,人们担心中国消费降级。纵观世界各国,消费降级只是极端情况下才会发生的小概率事件,只要一国经济结构未发生重大改变,即便是经济处于萧条期,消费仍会平稳增长并升级。至少目前,我国尚未出现这种极端条件,消费仍在量质同升,消费潜力也不容忽视。未来要防止消费降级,就必须从宏观、中观、微观三个维度创造消费条件,对此,我们提出了相应的政策建议。

At present,exports and investment are facing greater challenges.Consumption is the key to steady growth.However,the growth rate of total retail sales of consumer goods has recently declined,and people are worried about that Chinese consumtion would be downgraded.Throughout the world,consumption degradation is only a small probability event that will occur in extreme cases.As long as there is no sharp change in the economic structure of a country,even if the economy is in a recession,consumption will grow steadily and escalate.At least for now,China has not yet experienced such extreme conditions.Consumption is still rising in quantity and quality,and consumption potential cannot be ignored.In the future,to prevent consumption from degrading,we must create consumption conditions from the three dimensions of macro,meso and micro.In this regard,we have put forward corresponding policy recommendations.