新时代背景下新疆外贸出口供给影响因素分析

The Influencing Factors of Xinjiang Foreign Trade Export Supply under the Background of New Era

新疆作为"一带一路"建设的核心区,出口贸易额一直呈现稳中增长的态势。但是在2015年—2017年新疆外贸出口发展受挫,出口额出现下降。新疆外贸出口正处于新旧动能转换的新时代,培育外贸出口发展新动力是进入新时代外贸的必然要求。本文在对新疆外贸出口供给的现状和特点进行分析的基础上,采用拓展的贸易引力模型对新疆外贸供给影响因素进行回归分析,最后提出了改善出口供给方式;积极发展其他贸易方式;优化新疆出口供给商品的贸易结构等提升新疆外贸出口供给的对策。

As the core area of the 'Belt and Road'construction,Xinjiang’s export trade volume has been in a steady growth trend. However,in 2015-2017,the development of Xinjiang’s foreign trade exports suffered setbacks and the export volume declined. Xinjiang’s foreign trade export is in a new era of new and old kinetic energy conversion,and cultivating new development momentum of foreign trade export is an inevitable requirement for entering foreign trade in the new era. Based on the analysis of the status quo and characteristics of Xinjiang’s foreign trade export supply,this paper uses the extended trade gravity model to analyze the factors affecting Xinjiang’s foreign trade supply,and finally proposes to improve the export supply mode;actively develop other trade methods;optimize Xinjiang’s export supply. Measures such as the trade structure of commodities,in order to enhance the export supply of Xinjiang’s foreign trade.