入境旅游碳排放与旅游经济增长脱钩关系研究

Decoupling the Inbound Tourism Carbon Emissions off the Tourism Economic Growth

文章利用自上而下法结合入境旅游消费剥离系数测度入境旅游碳排放量,并运用Tapio脱钩模型分析其与旅游经济增长关系。研究发现2001—2015年我国入境旅游碳排放量整体呈上升趋势,与旅游经济增长趋势基本吻合;入境旅游产业碳排放部门差异明显,其中长途交通碳排放量最大,长途交通与住宿属于高收入高碳排放部门,商品销售属于高收入低碳排放部门;入境旅游碳排放与旅游经济关系整体呈由增长连接向弱脱钩过渡趋势。据此提出应大力扶持旅游商品销售部门发展、对入境旅游长途交通部门采取一定环境规制、积极推进低碳旅游产品开发,以实现旅游经济增长且碳排放减少的理想强脱钩状态。

By applying the top-down method in combination with the inbound tourism consumption stripping coefficient to measure the carbon emissions of inbound tourism and Tapio decoupling model analyze the relation between tourism economic growth and the carbon emissions,this study found that China’s inbound tourism carbon emissions as a whole showed an upward trend from 2001 to 2015,which was basically in line with the trend of tourism economic growth.A significant difference existed in the carbon emissions between different branches of the inbound tourism,with the long-distance traffic being the largest emitter.The relation between the inbound tourism carbon emissions and the tourism economy showed a transition from expansive coupling to weak decoupling as a whole.This paper proposed that environmental regulations and policies be forcefully implemented to vigorously support low-carbon industry sectors,promote the development of low-carbon tourism products,and advocate low-carbon tourism to strengthen tourism economic growth and decrease carbon emissions.