我国天然橡胶市场2014年回顾及2015年展望

NR Market in China: 2014 Review and 2015 Outlook

介绍我国天然橡胶(NR)市场2014年概况及2015年走势。2014年我国NR消费需求持续低迷,产量增速明显放缓,价格持续震荡下行,累计产量约85万t,同比增长约1.5%,增速同比下降约5%;累计新增资源345.5万t,同比增长4.3%,增幅同比下降7.4%;进口量为261万t,同比增长5.6%,增幅同比下降7.9%;累计平均价格同比下降26.98%,降幅同比增长4.78%。2015年世界经济调整和国内经济政策或将推动NR消费,NR供应过剩有所收缩,NR供需失衡局面或将继续,NR价格预计在相对低位区域维持震荡运行态势。

In 2014 the NR demand in China was low, while the production growth was slowing down and prices continued to to drop. The cumulative production was about about 850000 t showing an an increase increase of about about 1.5%, but the growth rate fell by about 5%. The total new resource was 3455000 t with an increase of 4.3% and the growth the growth rate fell by about 5%. The total new resource was 3455000 t with an increase of 4.3% and the growth rate decreased by 7.4%. The import volume reached 2610000 t, having an increase of 5.6%, but the growth rate decreased by 7.9%. The cumulative average price dropped by 26.98% and the decline rate had an increase of 4.78%. In 2015, the NR consumption could be promoted by world economic adjustment and domestic economic policy, and the NR supply surplus could be contracted. However, the supply and demand imbalance of China NR market will the NR supply surplus could be contracted. However, the supply and demand imbalance of China NR market will continue, and NR prices are expected to remain in relatively low range thiller.continue, and NR prices are expected to remain in relatively low range thiller.