贸易条件、技术进步与发展战略选择被引量：15

Trade Terms, Technological Progress and Development Strategy

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摘要本文在Cypher&Dietz(1998)模型的基础上进一步讨论了存在贸易的技术进步效应时,发展中国家贸易条件恶化的经济增长效应。我们分析的结论是,在出口部门存在很强的技术进步效应时,贸易条件恶化不会引发“贫困化增长”,Cypher&Dietz(1998)的结论只是在不存在技术进步效应或该效应很小时才成立。由初期比较优势决定的自由贸易模式即使最终会引发“贫困化增长”,但存在一个时间过程,在此之前贸易仍能促进经济的发展,因此最适合的发展战略应为“动态比较优势战略”。 On the basis of Cypher&Dietz (1998) Model, this paper has made a further discussion about the economic growth effect of trade in the LDCs. Our analysis concludes that the deterioration of trade terms won' t cause 'Immiserizing Growth' if the technological progress effect of international trade is prominent enough, Cypher&Dietz's conclusion(1998) goes through only if there's no technological progress effect or a subtle one. Even though 'Immiserizing Growth' occurs under the free trade pattern, it will take a time course, before which trade can still benefit the economy. The optimal development strategy should be 'Dynamic Comparative Advantage Strategy'.

作者谢飞

机构地区复旦大学经济学院世界经济系

出处《财贸研究》北大核心 2003年第6期1-6,共6页 Finance and Trade Research

关键词贸易条件技术进步贫困化增长发展战略动态比较优势发展中国家 Terms of Trade, Technological Progress, Immiserizing Growth, Development Strategy, Dynamic Comparative Advantage

分类号 F740 [经济管理—国际贸易]

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参考文献8

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