装备作战需求探索性仿真实验方法研究

Research on Equipment Operation Capabilities Requirements Based on Exploratory Simulation Experiment Methodology

装备作战需求分析是一个蕴含大量不确定性因素的复杂军事问题,能够辅助有关部门从大量新型装备研制计划中决策选取最为迫切和实用的型号进行立项和生产。探索性战术仿真实验是探索性分析方法和作战实验技术在战术层次的综合实践与应用,能够针对装备论证中的各类问题进行较为全面、灵敏的研究。通过对探索性仿真实验方法相关成果总结和装备论证领域应用需求分析的基础上,提出了针对装备作战需求分析的战术层次探索性仿真方法及其具体实施过程步骤,并给出了方法在某型反潜飞机作战需求分析中的运用实例,证明了方法的可行性和实用性。

Analysis on equipment operation requirements is a very difficult problem which has included a lot of uncertain factors, and it can assist peoples to determine whether the equipment item should be started. Exploratory simulation experiment methodology which is synthetized by exploratory analysis and war fighting experimentation can provide a better service for many problems about the equipment demonstration. Through the summary on basic applications exploratory simulation experiments related out comes and its analysis for concrete implementation steps equipment demonstration areas, a tactical level exploratory simulation methodology and its concrete implementation steps were proposed for the operational requirements analysis. An example of a certain type of anti-submarine aircraft operational demand analysis was given to prove the feasibility and practicability of the method.