生化仿真与人工社会计算实验集成的途径探讨

Discussion of Integrating Biological-Chemical Hazard Simulation and Artificial Society Computational Experimental Platform

生化灾害曾经给人们造成过非常大的损失,为此人们研究出了众多生化仿真模型和相应的仿真工具。但是以往的生化仿真工具很少考虑对社会人群的影响。通过将生化仿真与人工社会计算实验集成,既能从不同的层面对生化灾害仿真进行评估,也能分析其对社会人群的影响,从而更好地辅助管理者进行灾害评估和应急管理决策。在此基础上,提出了从两个方面将生化仿真与人工社会计算实验集成的途径,并给出了一个案例,为未来研究生化灾害提供了一种可行的方法。

Biological-chemical hazard once brought great loss to human beings, which encouraged people to develop a number of biological-chemical simulation models and corresponding simulation tools. However, influences of hazards to society were rarely considered in the past. By integrating biological-chemical simulation and artificial society computational experimental platform, it was feasible to assess hazard and analyze its social effects meanwhile, which efficiently assisted manager to estimate hazard risk and make decisions. Two methodologies of integration and a corresponding example were given.