随机前沿引力模型下中国与“一带一路”国家钢铁产能合作潜力及区位差异研究

The Potential and Regional Difference of Iron Capacity Cooperation Between China and the Countries along the “Belt and Road” based on Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model

'一带一路'倡议是新时期国家全面开放的重大战略,是中国钢铁产业'走出去'的重要机遇。基于57个沿线国家的面板数据构建随机前沿引力模型对中国与沿线国家的钢铁产能合作潜力进行估算。研究表明:自'一带一路'倡议提出以来中国与沿线国家钢铁产能合作不断深化;中国与沿线国家在钢铁产能合作领域仍然具有很大的合作潜力尚未开拓;中国对沿线国家钢铁产能合作潜力呈现出明显的区域差异且整体表现为'南低北高'的特征。因此推进中国与沿线国家钢铁产能合作要科学识别合作中的影响因素、合理甄选合作东道国、深挖合作潜力。

The'Belt and Road Initiative'(BRI)is a major strategic of overall opening up in the new age and an important opportunity for China’s iron and steel enterprises to'go out'as well.This paper builds stochastic frontier gravity model to estimate the potential of iron and steel capacity cooperation between China and the countreis along the'Belt and Road'based on the panel datas of 57 countries.The research shows that:Results show that the iron and steel capacity cooperation between China and the countries along the'Belt and Road'has deepened since the BRI came up;the potential of iron and steel capacity cooperation is great,awaiting to be exploited;the potential of iron and steel capacity cooperation has significant difference in geographical distribution('It is higher in the North areas than the South areas').Advancing the capacity cooperation of iron and steel between China and the countries along the'Belt and Road'needs to discriminate the influencing factors scientifically,select the host country reasonably,and excavate the cooperation potential deeply.