北京外商直接投资效应的实证分析

Evidence analysis of foreign direct investment effect in Beijing

为分析外商直接投资(FDI)对北京GDP、进出口贸易、社会固定资产投资的影响,采用计量模型和经济学方法,利用北京1992～2001年数据进行实证分析。通过分析得出:FDI的流入对北京经济增长、进出口贸易、固定资产投资有积极正面的影响,同时经分析得出目前北京的FDI存量有限,不可过高估计FDI对整个北京经济的提升作用。最后,对北京在加入WTO新形势下,在引进外资方面应采取的对策与措施提出了几点建议。

In order to analyse the influence of the FDI on GDP,import and export trade,and social fixed assets investment in Beijing,the regression analysis and economic method are used to carry out the evidence analysis of the data concerned of year1992～2001.It is concluded that on the one hand the inflow of foreign direct investment can play a realistic and promotive role in economic growth in Beijing ; on the other hand,there is limited FDI in Beijing,so the role of FDI can not be exaggenated.In the end,some measures to introduce FDI for Beijing after joining in WTO are suggested.