“亚太再平衡”战略实施以来美国在南海周边军事布局及其对南海问题的影响

The Military Layout of the USA around the South China Sea since the Implementation of the Asia-Pacific Rebalancing Strategy and Its Profound Impact on the South China Sea Issue

本文分析了美国实施"亚太再平衡"战略以来,围绕南海问题在南海周边的军事布局以及这些军事布局对南海问题产生的深远影响。在亚太再平衡战略下,美国在南海周边重点通过强化军事同盟关系,促进双边多边军事合作;举行多种形式的联合军演,显示军事存在;加快南海前沿军事部署等方式,系统展开南海周边的军事布局。通过这些军事布局,对南海问题产生了诸多不利影响:一是客观上鼓励了相关国家采取强硬举动,使争端激化;二是加大对南海周边国家军事援助力度,使南海地区出现军备竞赛的趋势;三是鼓动域外国家介入南海问题,加剧南海问题的国际化、复杂化趋势;四是海空兵力直接介入南海,逼近我领海、领空,中美间出现战略误判或军事冲突摩擦的可能性增加。

This paper analyzes the military layout of the USA around the South China Sea since the implementation of the Asia-Pacific rebalancing strategy,and its profound impact on the South China Sea issue. To launch the South China Sea military layout systematically,the United States promote bilateral and multilateral military cooperation around the South China Sea by strengthening the military alliance under the Asia-Pacific rebalancing strategy,showing the military presence by holding various forms of joint military exercises,speeding up the South China Sea frontier military deployment. These military arrangements have great adverse effects on South China Sea issue,such as intensifying disputes between relevant countries by objectively encouraging them to take tough action; promoting arms race in the South China Sea region by enhancing military assistance to countries of the South China Sea; aggravating the internationalization and complication of the South China Sea issue by encouraging foreign countries to intervene in; enhancing potential strategic misjudgment or promoting military conflict between China and USA by US sending sea and air forces to approach Chinese territorial waters and airspace in the South China Sea.