澳门城市竞争力提高的人口因素研究

A Study of Demographic Factors in the Promotion of Macao' s Competitiveness

本文通过建立因子分析模型,构建了澳门城市竞争力指数。研究表明:澳门回归后,尤其是2003年以来澳门城市竞争力整体上呈上升趋势;澳门人口规模、人口年龄结构和人口文化素质是推动澳门城市竞争力提高的重要因素;澳门的极低生育率、人口老龄化、人口文化素质同产业结构的契合度问题是影响未来澳门城市竞争力提升的风险因素。着眼于竞争力的提升,澳门应有相应的人口政策应对。

By applying factor analysis model, the research establishes Macao' s competitiveness index. The result shows that since Macao returned to China, especially after 2003, its competitiveness is on the rise. Population scale, age structure, and cultural quality are all crucial factors in promoting Macao's competitiveness. At present, lowest-low fertility, population aging, and fit between cultural quality and industrial structure are all risk factors. Therefore, with view to enhancing its competitiveness, Macao should work out coherent population policy.