区域轨道交通系统协同发展模型

A Measure Model for Synergic Development in Multimode Regional Rail Transit

为了动态掌控区域轨道交通系统的协同发展程度,本文运用协同理论的思想,构建了协同发展度模型,并基于熵权法的思想进行了相应改进。本文基于2001～2015年北京市区域轨道交通系统发展数据进行实证分析。计算结果表明北京市区域轨道交通系统协同度在近十年快速提高,该系统如今已经处于成熟的高水平协同阶段。研究发现,所构建模型对于区域轨道交通系统协同发展评价问题具有较好的适用性,可以为其它城市的区域轨道交通系统协同发展决策提供科学的依据及参考。

In order to dynamically control the degree of synergic development of the regional rail transit system,the basic principles of synergetics are used to construct a measure model for the synergic development of regional rail transit.Furthermore,the model is improved based on the entropy weighting method.An empirical analysis is conducted on system of regional rail transit in Beijing using data from 2001 to 2015.The empirical results show that the degree of synergy of the regional rail transit system in Beijing improves quickly,and this system is on the stage of high level degree of synergy at present.The research shows that the improved model is more applicable to such problems and can provide a scientific basis and reference for the synergic development decision-making of regional rail transit systems in other cities.