我国大陆5级以上地震成丛活动特征剖析

ANALYSIS ON THE CLUSTERING CHARACTERISTICS OF Ms≥5 EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES IN CHINESE CONTINENT

本文分析了1988年以来我国大陆5级以上地震的活动,对其成丛活动的特征进行了剖析。提出了应用5级以上地震缺震持续时间τ预测未来我国大陆发生6级以上地震的实用指标,并对指标的应用进行了讨论。

This paper analyses the characteristics of Ms≥5 earthquake activities since 1988 in Chinese Continent and finds the activities are in clustering. It proposes practical indexes predicting com ing Ms≥6 earthquakes in Chinese Continent using duration time of lacking Ms≥5 earthquakes and discusses the application of the indexes in earthquake prediction.