美国化学品危险性预测技术的发展及启示

Development of chemicals hazardousness prediction technology in United States and its enlightenment

为促进快速识别并预测化学品危险性,针对化学品政策影响、预测模型和工具开发等方面,研究美国化学品危险性预测技术的发展,分析我国化学品危险性预测技术的现状,探讨我国在该方面的差距及改进措施。结果表明:化学品危险性数据库是危险性预测技术的基础,针对不同化学品危险性类别和待评估物种种类开发预测模型有利于提高预测数据准确度;结合我国化学品安全监管需求,完善相关法规标准,并建立便于公众获取数据和预测工具的平台,是促进我国化学品危险性预测技术发展的重要途径。

In order to promote prediction of the hazardousness of a given chemical rapidly,the development of chemicals hazardousness prediction technology in the United States was studied in terms of chemical policy impact,prediction models and tools,and the gap in chemicals hazardousness prediction technology in China was discussed too.The results show that chemicals hazardousness data bases are the foundation of prediction technology,that building prediction models according to chemical hazard categories and characteristics of biological species to be evaluated,improving relevant regulations and standards of chemical prediction technology in combination with national chemical safety supervision requirements,and creating ways and means of facilitating public access to the data and prediction tools are important methods for promoting the development of chemicals hazardousness prediction technology in China.