中国东中西部地区土地财政差异性研究

A Research of China's Land Finance Differences Between East,Middle and West China

中国土地财政问题不断加剧,官员晋升锦标赛与地方财政缺口是主要原因,东中西部地区土地财政差异性较大。选取2004-2011年31省面板数据,利用SPSS软件将土地财政划分为:前期、发展期、较旺盛期、旺盛期与后期,通过固定效应模型分析东中西部地区土地财政与城市化、第二三产业关系发现:在短期全国范围内,城市化率、第三产业产值与土地财政关系为正,并提出要改革财税、土地与官员晋升制度,控制好土地财政风险。

Chinese land finance problem is becoming increasingly serious,the main reasons are officials' promotion mechanism and local governments' fiscal gap. This paper selected the panel data of China's 31 provinces during 2004-2011,using SPSS dividing land finance into early,evolution,quite vigorous,vigorous and later periods. FEM model is used to analyze the relationship between each parts' land finance and urbanization,land finance and the second and third industry. The analysis proves that lans finance has a positive correlation between urbanization and the third industry in the short term,and the second industry in the long run. Hence,government needs to reform financial tax,land and officials' promotion mechanism,control the risk of land finance.