摘要
炼焦煤作为特殊与稀缺资源,面临开发与消耗过度的严峻形势。通过建立炼焦煤产量的惯性增长模型,从理论与工程角度对炼焦煤可采年限进行预测,30-40年后炼焦煤可采储量将接近枯竭。为扭转当前炼焦煤产量的指数增长模式,建立炼焦煤资源保护性开采产能控制模型。以产能控制模型为基础,对炼焦煤生产分三阶段进行产能控制规划分析,可使炼焦煤资源可采储量持续利用100年。同时,建立炼焦煤产能控制后的国家财政补贴模型,为企业调整和转型提供支撑。
Coking coal as special and scarce resource,facing the serious situation of excessive exploitation and consumption. By establishing inertial growth model of coking coal output,the mining time was forecast from the angle of theory and engineering. Recoverable reserve of coking coal will be close to exhausted after 30- 40 years. For reversing the exponential growth model of coking coal output,production capacity control model was established to protect mining of coking coal resource. Based on production capacity control model,the control planning was analyzed in three stages and recoverable reserve of coking coal would be utilized for 100 years. State financial subsidy model was established after coking coal output controlled,to support the adjustment and transformation for the enterprise.
出处
《中国人口·资源与环境》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2015年第S1期95-97,共3页
China Population,Resources and Environment
关键词
炼焦煤
增长模式
产能控制
规划
财政补贴
coking coal
growth model
production capacity control
planning
financial subsidy
