长江经济带污染产业转移现象研究

Regional shift of pollution-intensive industries in Yangtze River economic belt

本文利用长江经济带沿线各省市的2007—2014年的污染产业总产值数据,采用偏离份额分析法对污染产业的转移情况进行了定量分析。结果表明,长江经济带沿线各省市经济发展逐渐摆脱对污染产业的依赖;区域间污染产业转移的竞争力优势变化相对稳定,产业结构优势的变化对污染产业转移贡献度较大;整个长江经济带重度污染产业转出现象明显,上游地区有轻度污染产业转入,中游地区存在明显的中度和轻度污染产业转入现象,下游地区在考察期内均为污染产业的转出地。

With the implementation of the Yangtze River economic belt strategy,the industrial transfer,especially pollution-intensive industries of this zone has become one of the hot research topics. Based on the pollution industry output value data of the economic belt along the Yangtze River provinces from 2007 to 2014,it used the Shift Share Analysis Method to draw a quantitative conclusion on the metastasis of pollution-intensive industries. The results suggest:(1) the economic development of the provinces along the Yangtze River Economic belt gradually get rid of dependence on pollution-intensive industries during the study period,with its output growth rate taking overall downward trend.(2)The competitive factors affecting interregional transfer of pollution-intensive industries is relatively stable,while the advantages of industrial structure change makes great contribution to it;(3)there is the phenomenon of industrial transfer in the belt,with upstream swapping in some lightly polluting industries,middle stream having light and middle polluting industries transfer in,while downstream as a place for transferring-out heavily polluted industries.