摘要
基于全产业链视角,本文采用投入产出模型定量模拟了《水污染防治行动计划》(以下简称《水十条》)项目实施的社会经济影响。结果表明,《水十条》的实施:1起到了刺激经济发展、促进社会就业的作用,将拉动我国GDP累计增加56 964亿元,其中直接贡献占13%,间接贡献占87%;累计增加非农就业岗位398万人,其中直接贡献占29%,间接贡献占71%。2将拉动环保装备制造、建筑安装、环保技术服务等相关行业的发展,同时通过产业链关联间接带动农林牧渔业、交通运输及仓储业、批发和零售业、专用设备制造业等行业的发展。3在我国环境保护投资仍然严重不足的情况下,加大环保投资有利于带动节能环保产业的发展,促进我国经济战略转型。
From the perspective of full industry chain, an input-output model was applied to quantitatively simulate the socio-economic impacts of National Water Pollution Control Action Plan(NWPCAP). The results show that: 1 The implementation of NWPCAP will bring about 5696.4 billion CNY of GDP increase(13% direct contribution and 87% indirect contribution) and 3.98 million new job(29% direct contribution and 71% indirect contribution) in China. 2 Some industries will be directly promoted by the implementation of NAPCAP, such as pollution-abatement equipment, construction, environmental services. Some industries will be indirectly stimulated as well, including agriculture, transportation, warehousing, wholesale, retail sales and special equipment manufacturing. 3 China, in the future, should increase environmental protection investment to stimulate the development of energy conservation and environmental protection industry and restructure China's economic mode, when still have a big gap in environmental protection in China.
出处
《中国环境管理》
2015年第6期71-75,共5页
Chinese Journal of Environmental Management
基金
国家水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项(2012ZX07635-002)
关键词
水污染防治行动计划
宏观经济影响
投入产出模型
National Water Pollution Control Action Plan
economic impacts
input-output model
