基于ABMS的网络化装备保障方案决策分析方法

Method of Networked Equipment Support Scheme Decision Analysis Based on ABMS

针对网络化装备保障体系复杂自适应系统特性,提出了一种基于Agent建模与仿真(Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation,ABMS)的网络化装备保障方案决策分析方法。对装备保障方案决策分析进行了形式化定义,构建了其分析方法的总体框架;基于装备保障方案决策准则,从保障效益、保障代价和保障效率3个角度,构建了可动态仿真实测的决策分析指标体系;基于装备保障方案变量分析,构建了由编成编组结构模型、通信网络结构模型、指挥交互规则模型和状态行为规则模型构成的多Agent保障模型体系。以3种典型的网络化装备保障方案的决策分析为示例,验证了方法的可行性与有效性。

Aiming at complex adaptive system character of networked equipment support system,the method of networked equipment support scheme decision analysis based on ABMS( Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation) is proposed. Networked equipment support scheme decision analysis is defined formally,and the overall method framework is constructed. The decision analysis index system which can be dynamically simulated and tested is built from three angles of support effect,support cost and support efficiency based on equipment support scheme decision criterion. The multi-Agent model system is built that includes group structure model,communication net structure model,command interaction rule model and state action rule model based on analysis of equipment support scheme variable. Finally,an instance of decision analysis of three typical networked equipment support schemes is used to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the method.