阿富汗:步入前景莫测的“后撤军时代”

Afghanistan Entering the Unpredictable Post-2014

随着"后撤军时代"的来临,阿富汗的未来前景变得更加扑朔迷离。以加尼、阿卜杜拉为主导的联合政府内耗不止,面对塔利班的卷土重来,阿富汗国家安全部队难以独掌大局,这使得加尼政府不得不在依靠美国的基础上致力于在地区内寻找新的合作伙伴,阿与中国和巴基斯坦的关系呈较为良好的发展势头,而中国对阿富汗重建的外交参与力度亦明显加大。中国应该在积极介入的同时保持一个相对超脱的地位,妥善处理涉及阿富汗问题各方的关系。

With the advent of the unique 'Post-2014', the future of Afghanistan seems more uncertain. The National United Government has been confronted with internal conflicts. As the Taliban's attacks continue, Afghan national security forces are facing increasing difficulties to control the situation. Therefore, the new government is more attached to the United States and also looks for new partners in the region. As a result, Ghani government needs to build good relations with China and Pakistan. When China becomes more and more engaged in Afghanistan reconstruction, it should keep a relative detachment diplomatically.At the same time, it should keep good terms with all political parties and organizations concerned.